Rated too high IMO:

DU - The Dukes lose Saunders and Clark, and have nobody proven yet inside. How far will that take the Dukes down the stretch run?

GW- Though I think GW would be a top 4 team with Hobbs, I have no clue how Lonergan will take them in year 1.

St. Bona (but barely) - No proven point guard in what is becoming less of a guard's league, but still is a league dominated by guards.

Dayton - They weren't that good last year, despite their record and NIT bid. Chris Wright graduated, and Archie Miller may take some time to get into things.

Charlotte - Should be flipped with UMass IMO.

Too Low IMO:

Richmond. Yes they lost a lot. But who you can replace your losses with matters. You guys know how much I've liked Lindsay's game at the point. Mooney is an excellent coach, and he will find a way for this team to be in at a minimum in the top half of the conference.

St. Joe's. While some may call winning 4 of their last 6 games last year a fluke, I don't think it was. I saw it as an extremely young team (Galloway, Aiken were freshmen, Carl Jones a soph) gelling into things. What excited me more is that while we're used to seeing underclassmen...particularly freshmen...wear down, this group clearly did not, but appeared to get stronger. This bodes well for finishing A10 play in the next few years.

URI - The worst conference record since the additions of Charlotte and SLU was 7-9. To pick them 9th of 14 seems a little low - Baron always has a way of being in the upper-mid of the pack it seems.

UMass- Flip with Charlotte, maybe up another rung or two (depending on how much my lack of faith in Kellogg will permit me to move them up).

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On a side note...I might even flip La Salle with Fordham. Giannini seemed lost at times last year, and seemed he lost his team as well, and regressed a lot IMO as a gameday coach in addition to the regression as a motivator. I wonder if Pecora won't catch up to him if Giannini doesn't get it together...