Looking more at the home/road breakdown, I see six wins only in conference. We get the middle tier of Richmond, La Salle, and UMass all away this year so there's less chance of stealing one of those types. The doubles look harder than anticipated with Davidson added to the mix.

@hoopsnut. Dayton's win over Georgia Tech to me was as much about Gregory's incompetence against a 2-3 zone as much as anything. Dayton packed it in and Gregory had no answer. I doubt Georgia Tech will be much of anything come the end of the year anyway, and despite their 8-3 start may very well end the year with a losing record come ACC time. Dayton also had some holes in that game that will be exposed on film by good A-10 coaches. They won't be missing a beat forever, and if they are there should be some A-10 coaches on the hot seat. As far as big men playing the 5...Dayton doesn't have any now after the defections (they're starting a 6-6 center!)

As for GW, they were predicted #2 in the conference...the Dukes weren't expected to measure up against them. Also that 1-3-1 that G-Dub runs will give the Dukes fits as the Dukes will be bothered by the length of it. The 6-8 forward is Watanabe, the #1 recruit out of Asia that was a prized recruit of Lonergan's class for those that followed foreign recruiting.

As far as a true PG, I think DC can fit that bill. I'm not completely sold on the other teams having shooters and athletes...at least not this year...last year I'd have agreed with you much more. There's a lot of A-10 teams that can't shoot very well this year, however. Both UMass and St. Joe's can't shoot at all comparatively to the rest of the NCAA yet alone the A-10, and it's not like URI, La Salle, or George Mason can shoot well either. Dayton's probably a below average shooting team also. Even VCU minus two games has shot the ball very poorly.